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CGD in the News

Are Robots Really Coming For Our Jobs? (CapX)

August 16, 2017

From the article:

On a superficial analysis, one could indeed say that automation causes job losses. But by digging a bit deeper, you can see that bad government policies are the root cause for unemployment.

Take driverless cars. Driving is not a job that requires specialised skills. Low-skilled workers are abundant and also inexpensive. Why, then, is Uber so interested in developing driverless cars? Could it possibly be because governments around the world have imposed costly regulations on the company, or banned it outright, to protect the taxi cartels.

Never mind that this immediately makes Uber drivers redundant, it also gives Uber an incentive to invest billions in developing the cars to circumvent the burdensome regulations. This will ensure that all drivers lose their jobs in the long run, including the taxi cartels governments are trying to protect.

Lant Pritchett, at the Centre for Global Development, wrote last month of a similar problem in the US. Workers from Central and Latin America could easily take low-wage jobs in the US. But minimum wage laws and immigration restrictions make labour artificially expensive.

That is precisely why Amazon is pouring billions into drones. In the absence of government intervention, it would be far cheaper to hire low-skilled immigrants for delivering parcels. But since government won’t allow that, it is cheaper to use drones. Most delivery jobs in the US will be eliminated in the near future as a result of bad immigration policies. Policies which were, ironically, crafted to save those jobs.

Note the tremendous inefficiency this creates. The world’s scarcest resources, entrepreneurs and scientists, are working to economise the most abundant resources, namely low-skilled labour. All of that entrepreneurial and scientific talent is being wasted due to bad government policies. Pritchett rightly laments that this makes it harder for poor people to escape poverty.

Pritchett’s observation is nothing new. In January, I wrote that even Karl Marx understood how technological progress is distorted when government tries to protect certain industries or occupations. A case in point is Indian manufacturing, which the government tried to protect from foreign competition.

Read full article here.

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Senior Fellow