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When Nigeria's population surpasses America's, will power capacity keep up?

When Nigeria's population surpasses America's, will power capacity keep up?

Sometime around 2045, Nigeria’s population will pass the United States in size. Nigeria isalready the world’s most under-powered country in the world relative to its income—nearly 80 percent below global trends. As large as the power gap is today, what will Nigeria’s electricity generation capacity look like in 30 years?

Energy Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa is both broadly and deeply energy poor: only 32 percent of the total population has “modern energy access” using even the minimal IEA definition. Even in urban areas, access averages only 59 percent.

Income Categories and Proposed Energy Categories

Energy use is highly correlated with a country’s income category. No rich country consumes less than 5,000 kWh/person/year; no poor country consumes more than 300 kWh/person/year. Just as countries are categorized as low, lower middle, upper middle, and high income, energy categories could be established for extreme low energy, low energy, middle energy, and high energy , on the basis of annual per capita energy use.